The euro is a political currency and forex traders often wonder why such a currency moves in the way it does, with today being a classic example. An agreement has supposedly been reached about future policy by the member states, yet the euro has fallen and the answer lies in the bond markets and in particular the bond spreads. It is the spread between the German bond and the Italian bond which will ultimately dictate the future of the euro with Italy now likely to be the next country to leave the union.