In this morning's forex trading session we saw the first signs of a change in sentiment following the panic selling of the last few weeks, with risk currencies and safe haven flows sending strong signals of this change. Volume price analysis confirms using Wyckoff's three laws of supply and demand, cause and effect and finally and most importantly effort vs result.
https://youtu.be/HE1j44W55LY...
Fundamental news is often cyclical and the importance of one type will vary according to where we are in the economic cycle. In addition, such items may be overshadowed by more prescient news, and this is certainly the case at present with Coronovirus dominating world headlines and driving fear in the markets. So it was no surprise to see the monthly NFP release have little impact on US indices, which paused momentarily before continuing their journey South as we can see across the three sisters here of the YM emini, the NQ emini and the ES emini. Note the weakness in the reaction higher on the 5m charts to the top of the image.
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As I mentioned yesterday history will judge whether this week's action by the FED was prudent or foolish but what cannot be denied is the effect on the US which is free fall and looking to move towards the 96 price point. This makes today's non farm payroll release even more important as a strong number should give the USD some support. The weekly chart for the DXY shows the extent of this week's move as well as the downside levels ahead.
And it's the nzd/usd which has been the strongest of the majors this morning as we can see on the charts below.
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The crossover sessions in forex occur when trading in one timezone closes and another opens and can be a very dangerous time for traders. Why? Because this is where insider traps are set. The London open always is a fertile ground and there was a great example on the usd/jpy.
Heavy buying in the pair on the previous day resulted in a nice move higher in Asia with the pair moving into consolidation ahead of the London open.
Prior to the open the pair started to move higher on reasonable volume but reversed lower at the open on high volume until the hammer candle, again on high volume pushed the pair back towards the consolidation (the yellow line on the chart).
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